Shares of artificial intelligence software company C3.ai took a significant hit today, dropping sharply following a downgrade by KeyBanc analyst Eric Heath.
The stock closed at $34.17, marking a 13.9% decline from the previous trading session.
Heath lowered his rating on C3.ai to “underweight” and set a price target of $29, citing troubling revenue growth trends. Specifically, Heath pointed to stagnation in the company’s subscription revenue.
When excluding upfront license payments, subscription revenue fell by 1% year-over-year in the second fiscal quarter, raising concerns about the sustainability of its business model.
“Consensus revenue estimates for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 appear overly optimistic,” Heath noted. The report suggested that broader market assumptions about C3.ai’s ability to capitalize on the booming AI sector might be inflated.
The downgrade sent shockwaves through the market, as investors reevaluated the company’s growth potential. Trading volume surged as the stock hit an intraday low of $33.60, well below its opening price of $39.58.
The decline highlights the volatility of AI-focused stocks, which have enjoyed substantial investor enthusiasm throughout the year.
Despite today’s downturn, C3.ai’s stock remains up by over 20% year-to-date, fueled by the broader excitement surrounding advancements in artificial intelligence technologies.
C3.ai’s stumble could serve as a cautionary tale for other AI companies relying heavily on subscription-based revenue models. With investors demanding tangible, scalable growth, the pressure is on for AI firms to demonstrate consistent performance amid the sector’s rapid evolution.
As C3.ai grapples with market skepticism, the company’s leadership will need to address these concerns head-on. Investors and analysts will be closely watching upcoming earnings reports and management’s plans for reversing the subscription revenue slump.
The stock’s sharp decline serves as a reminder of the challenges facing even the most promising players in the competitive AI landscape. For now, C3.ai faces an uphill battle to restore investor confidence and prove that its long-term growth story remains intact.
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